Risk Assessment
Terrorism risk assessment consists of three components: threat, vulnerability and consequence assessment. Our research team uses extensions of probabilistic risk analysis of engineered systems, game theory, and expert elicitation of risks and uncertainties to address this problem.
Investigators
- Larry Bank
- Tony Barrett
- Terry Benzel
- Eli Berman
- Vicki Bier
- William J Burns
- Richard John
- Erim Kardes
- Lloyd W. Mitchell
- Bob Neches
- Michael Orosz
- Todd Sandler
- Gary Shiffman
- Detlof von Winterfeldt
- Henry Willis
Current Projects
- Rational Peasants or Religious Clubs, Berman, Eli
- Risk Assessment and Analysis for Improved Planning for Foreign Animal and Zoonotic Disease Defense, Bier, Vicki
- Resource Allocation in the Context of Bioterrorism, Bier, Vicki
- Portfolio Allocation, Bier, Vicki
- Precursor Analysis, Bier, Vicki
- Innovations in Risk and Economic Modeling of Counter-Terrorism, Bier, Vicki
- Risk Analysis in Support of Intelligence Analysis, Bier, Vicki
- Trading off Border Security against Target Hardening, Bier, Vicki
- Geographic Information Systems (GIS) Support, Bowman, Harry
- Expert Judgment Elicitation Methods, Hora, Stephen C.
- Risk Perception and Behavioral Economics, John, Richard
- Risk-Based Allocation of Resources to Counterterrorism, Kleinmuntz, Don
- Risk-Based Resource Allocation Case Study, Kleinmuntz, Don
- Terrorism Risk Rankings of American Indian Gaming Communities, Mitchell, Lloyd
- Risk Analysts' Workbench, Neches, Robert
- The Risk Analysis Workbench (RAW), Orosz, Michael; Neches, Bob
- Maritime Security Supply Chain Risk Analysis, Phillips, Kate
- Perceptions of Terrorism Risks, Rosoff, Heather
- Network Reliability Models, Ross, Sheldon
- Terrorism and US Foreign Direct Investment, and Counterterrorism Policy Evaluation, Sandler, Todd
- Counterterrorism and Terrorism in the Post-9/11 Era, Sandler, Todd
- Intelligence Analysis for Homeland Security, Shiffman, Gary; Sims, Jennifer
- Extension of MANPADS Decision Analysis Tools, von Winterfeldt, Detlof
- Decision Analysis to Counter Terrorism, von Winterfeldt, Detlof
- Bioterrorism Case Study, von Winterfeldt, Detlof
- Analyzing Nominally Expressed Responses to Threat, Weiss, David J.
- Applying Risk Analysis to Support Intelligence Analysis, Willis, Henry H.
- Aggregating Elicited Probabilities, Willis, Henry H.; Predd, Joel
- Advanced Risk and Decision Analysis, Winterfeldt, Detlof von; John, Richard
- Homeland-Security Games with Non-strategic Players, Zhuang, Jun
- Critical Infrastructure for Border Security, Zimmerman, Rae
Past Projects
- Vulnerabilities along US Borders: A Brief Analysis of Potential Terrorist Traffic through US Borders, Bakir, N. Onur
- Why Choose Terrorism? Rebels and Terrorists, Berman, Eli ; Heger, Lindsay; Shapiro, Jacob ; Felter, Joseph ;
- Innovations in Risk and Economic Modeling of Counterterrorism, Bier, Vicki
- MANPADS Scenarios for Attack Risk Modeling, Bier, Vicki
- Innovations in Risk and Economic Modeling of Counterterrorism, Bier, Vicki et al.
- The Dynamics of Public Response to a Terrorist Strike: Recommendations for Data Collection, Analysis, and Modeling, Burns, William J.
- Expert Judgment Elicitation Methods, Hora, Stephen C.
- Risk Perception and Estimating Threat Probability Using Random Utility Models of Terrorist Objectives and Motivations, John, Richard
- Estimating the Likelihood of Terrorism Events and Public Response, John, Richard, Rosoff, Heather
- Strategic Decision Making in the Presence of Adversaries, Kardes, Erim
- Stochastic Game Models for Homeland Security, Kardes, Erim
- 1st Annual Intertribal Risk Analysis Symposium and Roundtable, Mitchell, Lloyd
- Applications of Risk Analysis in Border Security, Onur Bakir, Niyazi
- Risk Analysis Workbench (RAW), Orosz, Michael
- Network Reliability Models, Ross, Sheldon
- Understanding Counterterrorism Actions in a Globalized World, Sandler, Todd
- Addressing Terrorist Threats in a Globalized World Assessing Counterterrorism: Intelligence and Other Policies, Sandler, Todd
- Advanced Risk and Decision Analysis, von Winterfeldt, Detlof
- Advanced Risk and Decision Analysis, Winterfeldt, Detlof von
