Published Articles & Papers

Regional Dynamics Under Adverse Physical and Behavioral Shocks: The Economic Consequences of a Chlorine Terrorist Attack in the Los Angeles Financial District

Emergency management decision makers must make contingency plans for a wide range of threat scenarios. In undertaking ex-ante cost/benefit evaluations of contingency plans, they must understand the economic benefits of threat deterrence and reduction.

A Framework for Analyzing the Economic Tradeoffs Between Urban Commerce and Security Against Terrorism

This article presents a framework for economic consequence analysis of terrorism countermeasures. It specifies major categories of direct and indirect costs, benefits, spillover effects, and transfer payments that must be estimated in a comprehensive assessment.


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