von Winterfeldt, Detlof

Full Name: 
von Winterfeldt, Detlof

Researcher Profile

Professor
Affiliation: 
University of Southern California
Epstein Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering
Phone: 
+1 213 740 0898
Office Address: 
3715 McClintock Ave,. RTH, 3rd Floor
GER 240
Los Angeles, CA 90089
United States
Research Expertise: 
layered defenses, security in depth, global nuclear detection architecture, terrorism risk analysis
Bio: 
For the past thirty years, Detlof von Winterfeldt, Ph.D., has been active in teaching, research, university administration, and consulting. He has taught courses in statistics, decision analysis, risk analysis, systems analysis, research design, and behavioral decision research. His research interests are in the foundation and practice of decision and risk analysis as applied to technology development, environmental risks, natural hazards and terrorism. He is the co-author or co-editor of four books or edited volumes and over 100 articles, chapters and reports on these topics. As a consultant he has applied decision and risk analysis to many management problems of government and private industry. He has served on several committees and panels of the National Science Foundation and the National Academies of Sciences (NAS), including a recent appointment to the NAS Board on Mathematical Sciences and their Applications. He is a fellow of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) and of the Society for Risk Analysis. In 2000, he received the Ramsey Medal for distinguished contributions to decision analysis from the Decision Analysis Society of INFORMS.
Education: 
DegreeYearUniversity
Ph.D., Mathematical Psychology
1976
University of Michigan
Professional Experience: 
Organization/CompanyStarting YearTo Present
Director, National Center for Risk and Economic Analysis
2004
2008
Director, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
2009
2012

Publications

Presentations

Title Project
Decision and Risk Analysis to Counter Terrorism Intelligence and Risk Analysis
Experiences with Risk Analysis and Implications for Bioterrorism Intelligence and Risk Analysis
Insights from CREATE Research to Counter Terrorism Intelligence and Risk Analysis
Review of Research Needs and Topics Intelligence and Risk Analysis
Need for Behavioral and Experimental Economics Research on Terrorism Intelligence and Risk Analysis
Should we Protect Commercial Airplanes against Surface to Missile Attacks by Terrorists? Intelligence and Risk Analysis
Decision Analysis with Multiple Stakeholders Intelligence and Risk Analysis
Intelligence Analysis Tasks - Risk Analysis Tools Intelligence and Risk Analysis
Systems and Risk Analysis for Food Protection and Security Improving Homeland Security with Decision Analysis
Defender-Attacker Games and Decisions Improving Homeland Security with Decision Analysis
The Global Risk Landscape: Challenges of Extreme Events Improving Homeland Security with Decision Analysis
Risk Analysis and the Challenges of Extreme Events Improving Homeland Security with Decision Analysis
The Relevance of Scientific Information for Personal and Policy Decisions Improving Homeland Security with Decision Analysis
Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events Improving Homeland Security with Decision Analysis
Terrorism Risks and Complex Adaptive Systems Improving Homeland Security with Decision Analysis
The Global Risk Landscape: Challenges of Extreme Events Spatially Layered Defenses Against Terrorism
Terrorism Risks and Complex Adaptive Systems Spatially Layered Defenses Against Terrorism
Systems and Risk Analysis for Food Protection and Security Spatially Layered Defenses Against Terrorism
Risk Analysis and the Challenges of Extreme Events Spatially Layered Defenses Against Terrorism
The Relevance of Scientific Information for Personal and Policy Decisions Spatially Layered Defenses Against Terrorism
Defender-Attacker Games and Decisions Spatially Layered Defenses Against Terrorism
Biases that matter for Decision and Risk Analysis Spatially Layered Defenses Against Terrorism
Expert Elicitation Spatially Layered Defenses Against Terrorism