Publications (Recent)

       

Books

Okuyama, Y. and A. Rose (eds.). 2019. Modeling Spatial and Economic Impacts of Disasters. Cham, Switzerland: Springer Nature. https://www.springer.com/gp/book/9783030162368

Abbas, A., M. Tambe, and D. von Winterfeldt (eds). 2017. Improving Homeland Security Decisions. New York: Cambridge University Press.  https://doi.org/10.1017/9781316676714

Rose, A. 2017. Defining and Measuring Economic Resilience from a Societal, Environmental and Security Perspective. Singapore: Springer. doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-1533-5

Rose, A., F. Prager, Z. Chen, and S. Chatterjee. 2017. Economic Consequence Analysis of Disasters: The E-CAT Software Tool. Singapore: Springer.  doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-2567-9

Zhu, Q., T. Alpcan, M. Panaousis, M. Tambe, and W. Casey. 2016. Conference on Decision and Game Theory for Security (GameSec). Heidelberg: Springer.  doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-47413-7

Refereed Journal Articles

2020

Becerik-Gerber, B., R. Zhu, G. M. Lucas, and E. G. Southers. 2020. "Building Preparedness in Response to Active Shooter Incidents: Results of Focus Group Interviews," International Journal of Disaster Risk Reductiondoi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101617

Rose, A., P. Ganderton, J. Eyer, D. Wei, R. Bostic, and D. von Winterfeldt. “The Design of a Deductible/Credit System for Post-Disaster Public Assistance,” Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, forthcoming. https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09640568.2019.1706461

Sue Wing, I. and A. Rose. “Economic Consequence Analysis of Electric Power Infrastructure Disruptions: An Analytical General Equilibrium Approach,” Energy Economics, forthcoming. https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3276978

Wei, D., Z. Chen and A. Rose. “Evaluating the Role of Resilience in Recovering from Major Port Disruptions: A Multi-Regional Analysis,” Papers in Regional Science, forthcoming.

2019

Baucum, M. and R. S. John. 2019. “The Psychophysics of Terror Attack Casualty Counts,” Risk Analysis. doi:10.1111/risa.13396

Baucum, M., J. Cui, and R. S. John. 2019. “Temporal and Geospatial Gradients of Fear and Anger in the Social Media Response to Terrorism,” ACM Transactions on Social Computing. dx.doi.org/10.1145/3363565

Dormady, N., A. Roa-Henriquez, and A. Rose. 2019. “Economic Resilience of the Firm: A Production Theory Approach,” International Journal of Production Economics 208: 446-60. doi.org/10.1016/j.ijpe.2018.07.017

Eyer, J. and A. Rose. 2019. “Mitigation and Resilience Tradeoffs for Electricity Outages,” Economics of Disasters and Climate Change 3(1): 61-77. doi.org/10.1007/s41885-018-0034-5

Kusumastuti, S., H. Rosoff, and R. S. John. 2019. “Characterizing Conflicting User Values for Cyber Authentication Using a Virtual Public Values Forum,” Decision Analysis 16(3): 157-171 doi:10.1287/deca.2018.0383

Kusumastuti, S., H. Rosoff, J. Blythe, and R. S. John. 2019. “An Empirical Behavioral Study of Deterrence: An Analog Cyber-Attack Simulation Game,” Risk Analysis.  doi:10.1111/risa.13402

Nagamatsu, S., A. Rose, and J. Eyer. 2019. “Return Migration and Decontamination after the 2011 Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant Accidents,” Risk Analysis, forthcoming. doi.org/10.1111/risa.13432

Siebert, J. and D. von Winterfeldt. 2019. “Comparative Analysis of Terrorists’ Objectives Hierarchies,” Decision Analysis, forthcoming. https://doi.org/10.1287/deca.2019.0400

von Winterfeldt, D., S. Farrow, R.S. John, J. Eyer, A. Rose, and H. Rosoff. 2019. “Assessing the Benefits and Costs of Homeland Security Research: A Risk-Informed Methodology with Applications for the U.S. Coast Guard,” Risk Analysis, forthcoming. doi.org/10.1111/risa.13403

Wei, D., Z. Chen, and A. Rose. 2019. “Estimating Economic Impacts of the US-South Korea Free Trade Agreement,” Economic Systems Research 31(3): 305.23. doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2018.1506980

Zhao, M., H. Rosoff, and R. S. John. 2019. “Media Disaster Reporting Effects on Public Risk Perception and Response to Escalating Tornado Warnings: A Natural Experiment,” Risk Analysis 39(3): 535-552. doi:10.1111/risa.13205

2018

Baucum, M. and R. S. John. 2018. “Causal Evidence in Risk and Policy Perceptions: Applying the Covariation/Mechanism Framework,” Acta Psychologica 186: 90-103 doi:10.1016/j.actpsy.2018.03.003

Baucum, M., H. Rosoff, R. S. John, W. Burns, and P. Slovic. 2018. “Modeling Public Responses to Soft-Target Transportation Terror,” Environment, Systems, and Decisions 38(2): 239-249doi:10.1007/s10669-018-9676-7

Chen, Z. and A. Rose. 2018. “Economic Resilience to Transportation Failure:  A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis,” Transportation 45 (4): 1009-27. doi.org/10.1007/s11116-017-9819-6

Cui, J., H. Rosoff, and R. S. John. 2018. “Public Response to Near-Miss Nuclear Accident Scenarios Varying in Causal Attributions and Outcome Uncertainty,” Risk Analysis 38(5): 947-961. doi:10.1111/risa.12920

Dillon, R., W. Burns, and R. S. John. 2018. “Insights for Critical Alarm-Based Warning Systems from a Risk Analysis of Commercial Aviation Passenger Screening,” Decision Analysis 15(3): 154-173 [Runner-up for the 2018 Decision Analysis Special Recognition Award]. doi:10.1287/deca.2018.0369

Eyer, J., R. Dinterman, N. Miller, and A. Rose. 2018. “The Effect of Disasters on Migration Destinations: Evidence from Hurricane Katrina,” Economics of Disasters and Climate Change 2(1): 91-106. doi.org/10.1007/s41885-017-0020-3

Farrow, S. and A. Rose. 2018. “Welfare Analysis:  Bridging the Partial and General Equilibrium Divide for Policy Analysis,” Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis 9(1): 67-83. [Recipient of the Outstanding Article of 2018 Award]. doi.org/10.1017/bca.2017.29

Prager, F. Z. Chen, and A. Rose. 2018. “Estimating and Comparing Economic Consequences of Multiple Threats:  A Reduced-Form Computable General Equilibrium Approach,” International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 31: 45-57. doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2018.02.014

Rose, A. 2018. “Distributional Considerations for Transboundary Risk Governance of Environmental Threats,” International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 9(4): 445-53.  doi.org/10.1007/s13753-018-0205-6

Rose, A., D. Wei, and D. Paul. 2018. “Economic Consequences of a Disruption of Oil Imports: The Role of Seaports in U.S. Energy Security,” Energy Policy 115: 584-615. doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.12.052

Xie, W., A. Rose, S. Li, J. He., N. Li, T. Ali, T., and W. Wei.  2018. “Dynamic Economic Resilience and Economic Recovery from Disasters:  A Quantitative Assessment,” Risk Analysis 38(6): 1306-18. doi.org/10.1111/risa.12948

2017

Cui, J., H. Rosoff, and R. S. John. 2017. “A Polytomous Item Response Theory Model for Measuring Near-Miss Appraisal as a Psychological Trait,” Decision Analysis 14(2): 75-86. doi:10.1287/deca.2017.0345

Fang, F., T. Nguyen, R. Pickles, W.Y. Lam, G.R. Clements, B. An, A. Singh, B.C. Schwedock, M. Tambe, and A. Lemieux. 2017. “PAWS: A Deployed Game-Theoretic Application to Combat Poaching,” AI Magazine 38(1): 23-36. https://doi.org/10.1609/aimag.v38i1.2710

Fang, F., T. H. Nguyen, A. Sinha, S. Gholami, A. Plumptre, L. Joppa, M. Tambe, M. Driciru, F. Wanyama, A. Rwetsiba, R. Critchlow, and C. M. Beale. 2017. “Predicting Poaching for Wildlife Protection,” IBM Journal of Research and Development 61(6): 3:1-3:12. doi:10.1147/JRD.2017.2713584

Nguyen, K., H. Rosoff, and R. S. John. 2017. “Valuing Information Security from a Phishing Attack,” Journal of Cybersecurity 3(3): 159-171. doi:10.1093/cybsec/tyx006

Nguyen, K., H. Rosoff, and R. S. John. 2017. “Valuing Equal Protection in Aviation Security Screening,” Risk Analysis 37(12): 2405-2419. doi:10.1111/risa.12814

Rose, A., M. Avetisyan, H. Rosoff, W. Burns, P. Slovic, and O. Chan. 2017. “The Role of Behavioral Responses in the Total Economic Consequences of Terrorist Attacks on U.S. Air Travel Targets,” Risk Analysis 37(7): 1403-18. doi:10.1111/risa.12727

Ryutov, T., N. Sintov, M. Zhao, and R. S. John. 2017. “Predicting Information Security Policy Compliance Intention and Behavior for Six Employee-Based Risks,” Journal of Information Privacy and Security 13(4): 260-281. doi:10.1080/15536548.2017.1418632

2016

Chen, Z., A. Rose, F. Prager, and S. Chatterjee. 2016. “Economic Consequences of Aviation System Disruptions:  A Reduced-Form Computable General Equilibrium Analysis,” Transportation Research A 95: 207–226. doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2016.09.027

Cui, J., H. Rosoff, and R. S. John. 2016. “Cumulative Response to Sequences of Terror-Attacks Varying in Frequency and Trajectory,” Risk Analysis 36(12): 2272-2284. doi:10.1111/risa.12577

Garcia, R. and D. von Winterfeldt. 2016. “Defender-Attacker Decision Tree Analysis to Counter Terrorism,” Risk Analysis 36(8): 1-14. doi:10.1111/risa.12574

Kar, D., F. Fang, F.M. Delle Fave, N. Sintov, M. Tambe, and A. Lyet. 2016. “Comparing Human Behavior Models in Repeated Stackelberg Security Games: An Extended Study,” Artificial Intelligence Journal (AIJ) 240:65-103. doi:10.1016/j.artint.2016.08.002

Nguyen, K., H. Rosoff, and R. S. John. 2016. “The Effects of Attacker Identity and Individual User Characteristics on the Value of Information Privacy,” Computers in Human Behavior 55: 372-383. doi:10.1016/j.chb.2015.09.031

Prager, F., D. Wei, and A. Rose. 2016. “Total Economic Consequences of an Influenza Outbreak in the United States,” Risk Analysis 37(1): 4-19. doi:10.1111/risa.12625

Ridinger, G., R. S. John, M. McBride, and N. Scurich. 2016. “Attacker Deterrence and Perceived Risk in a Stackelberg Security Game,” Risk Analysis 36(8): 1666-1681. doi:10.1111/risa.12547

Rose, A. and C. Huyck. 2016. “Improving Catastrophe Modeling for Business Interruption Insurance Needs,” Risk Analysis 36(10): 1896-1915. doi.org/10.1111/risa.12550

Rose, A., I. Sue Wing, D. Wei, and A. Wein. 2016. “Economic Impacts of a California Tsunami,” Natural Hazards Review 17(2): 04016002. doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000212

Shieh, E., A. Jiang, A. Yadav, P. Varakantham, and M. Tambe. 2016. “An Extended Study on Addressing Defender Teamwork while Accounting for Uncertainty in Attacker Defender Games using Iterative Dec-MDPs,” Multi-Agent and Grid Systems 11(4):189-226. doi:10.3233/MGS-150236

Siebert, J., D. von Winterfeldt, and R. S. John. 2016. “Identifying and Structuring the Objectives of the ‘Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant’ (ISIL) and Its Followers,” Decision Analysis 13(1): 26-50. doi:10.1287/deca.2015.0324

Sue Wing, I., A. Rose, and A. Wein. 2016. “Economic Consequence Analysis of the ARkStorm Scenario,” Natural Hazards Review 17(4): A4015002. doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000173

Weiss, D., R. S. John, H. Rosoff, T. Baumert, M. Buesa, J. Gomez, A. Valeno, T. Shavit, and M. Rosenboim. 2016. “Worth the Risk? Terrorism Induced Fear of Flying,” Universitas Psychologica 15(3): 118-135. dx.doi.org/10.11144/Javeriana.upsy15-3.wrt

Zhang, C., S. Gholami, D. Kar, A. Sinha, M. Jain, R. Goyal, and M. Tambe. 2016. “Keeping Pace with Criminals: An Extended Study of Designing Patrol Allocation Against Adaptive Opportunistic Criminals,” Games 7(3): 15. doi:10.3390/g7030015

2015

Avetisyan, M., N. Heatwole, A. Rose, and B. Roberts. 2015. “Competitiveness and Macroeconomic Impacts of Reduced Wait Times at U.S. Land Freight Border Crossings,” Transportation Research A 78: 84–101. doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2015.04.027

Delle Fave, F.M., E. Shieh, M. Jain, A. Jiang, H. Rosoff, M. Tambe, and J. Sullivan. 2015. “Efficient Solutions for Joint Activity Based Security Games: Fast Algorithms, Results and a Field Experiment on a Transit System,” Journal of Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (JAAMAS) 29(5): 787-820. doi:10.1007/s10458-014-9270-4

Montibeller, G. and D. von Winterfeldt. 2015. “Cognitive and Motivational Biases in Decision and Risk Analysis,” Risk Analysis 35(7): 1230-1251. dx.doi.org/10.1111/risa.12360

Wei, B. Roberts, and C. Baschnagel. 2015. “Economy-wide Impacts of Reduced Wait Times at U.S. International Airports,” Research in Transportation Business and Management 16: 112-20. doi.org/10.1016/j.rtbm.2015.07.004

Sinha. A., T. Nguyen, D. Kar, M. Brown, M. Tambe, and A. Jiang, 2015. “From Physical Security to Cyber Security,” Journal of Cybersecurity 1(1):19-35. doi:10.1093/cybsec/tyv007

Book Chapters

Cui, J., H. Rosoff, and R. S. John. In press. “Responses to Cyber Near-Misses: A Scale to Measure Individual Differences,” in S. Chatterjee, R. Brigantic, & A. Waterworth (eds.), Applied Risk Analysis for Guiding Homeland Security Policy and Decisions, New York: Wiley.

Rose, A. 2019. “Measuring Economic Resilience:  Recent Advances and Future Priorities,” in H. Kunreuther et al. (eds.), The Future of Risk Management, Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press. https://www.upenn.edu/pennpress/book/13702.html

Rose, A. 2019. “Incorporating Cyber Resilience into Computable General Equilibrium Models,” in Y. Okuyama and A. Rose (eds.), Modeling Spatial and Economic Impacts of Disasters, Heidelberg, Springer, forthcoming. https://www.springer.com/us/book/9783030162368?gclid=EAIaIQobChMIuumNq6es6AIVENlkCh0sRQPiEAQYASABEgLuFfD_BwE

Rose, A. and Z. Chen. 2019. “Resilience to a Cyber-Attack on the Detroit Automobile Industry: A Computable General Equilibrium Approach,” in P. Nijkamp, E. Glaeser and K. Kourtit (eds.), Urban Empires, Heidelberg: Springer, forthcoming. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3084867

Rose, A. and N. Miller. 2019. “Measurement of Cyber Resilience from an Economic Perspective,” in S. Chatterjee, R. Brigantic and A. Waterworth (eds.), Applied Risk Analysis for Guiding Homeland Security Policy and Decision, New York: Wiley, forthcoming.   http://create.usc.edu/sites/default/files/measurement_of_cyber_resilience_rose_6-30-17.pdf

Rose, A. D. Wei and Z. Chen, “2019. Estimating U.S. Anti-Dumping/Countervailing (AD/CVD) Duty Enforcement Benefits, in Z. Chen et al. (eds.), Development Studies in Regional Science: Essays in Honor of Kingsley E Haynes, forthcoming. https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-981-15-1435-7_22

Rose, A., N. Miller, J. Eyer, and J. Banks.  2019. “Economic Mitigation of and Resilience to Cyber Threats,” in A. Kott and I. Linkov (eds.), Cyber Resilience of Systems and Networks, Heidelberg:  Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-77492-3

Dormady, N., A. Rose, H. Rosoff, and A. Roa-Henriquez. 2018. “Estimating the Cost-Effectiveness of Resilience to Disasters: Survey Instrument Design & Refinement of Primary Data,” in M. Ruth and S.G. Reisemann (eds.), Handbook on Resilience of Socio-Technical Systems, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3042880 

Rose, A. and N. Dormady. 2018. “Advances in Analyzing and Measuring Dynamic Economic Resilience,” in B. Trump M. Florin and I. Linkov (eds.), IRGC Resource Guide on Resilience (vol. 2): Domains of Resilience for Complex Interconnected Systems, Lausanne, CH: EPFL International Risk Governance Center. dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3271921

Cui, J., H. Rosoff, and R. S. John. 2017. “Deterrence of Cyber Attackers in a Three-Player Behavioral Game,” in S. Rass, B. An, C. Kiekintveld, F. Fang, & S. Schauer (eds.), Decision and Game Theory for Security: GameSec 2017 (pp. 718-736), New York: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-68711-7

Cui, J., T. Nguyen, J. Pita, and R. S. John. 2017. “Methods for Addressing the Unpredictable Real-World Element in Security,” in A. Abbas, M. Tambe, & D. von Winterfeldt (eds.), Improving Homeland Security Decisions (pp. 574-603), Cambridge University Press. doi:10.1017/9781316676714.008

Dixon, P., M. Rimmer, G. Wittwer, A. Rose, and N. Heatwole. 2017. “Economic Consequences of Terrorism and Natural Disasters: The Computable General Equilibrium Approach,” in A. Abbas, M. Tambe and D. von Winterfeldt (eds.), Improving Homeland Security Decisions, New York: Cambridge University Press. doi:10.1017/9781316676714.008

Fang, F., B. Ford, R. Yang, M. Tambe, and A. Lemieux. 2017. “PAWS: Game Theory based Protection Assistant for Wildlife Security,” in M. Gore (ed.), Conservation Criminology, New York: Wiley. ISBN: 978-1-118-93548-4

Kar, D., T.H. Nguyen, F. Fang, M. Brown, A. Sinha, M. Tambe, and A. X. Jiang. 2017. “Recent Trends and Applications in Security Games,” in T. Basar and G. Zaccour (eds.), Handbook of Dynamic Game Theory, Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-27335-8

McCarthy, S., A. Sinha, and M. Tambe. 2017. “Game Theoretic Defense for Maritime Security,” in F. Roberts, J. DiRenzo, and N. Drumhiller (eds.), Challenges in Maritime Cyber Security, Washington, DC:  Westphalia Press.

Nguyen, K. and R. S. John. 2017. “Perceptions and Affective Responses to Alternative Risk-Based Airport Security,” in N. A. Stanton (ed.), Advances in Human Aspects of Transportation: AHFE 2017 (pp. 27-37), New York: Springer. ISBN: 978-3-319-60441-1

Nguyen, K., H. Rosoff, and R. S. John. 2017. “Valuing Information Security from a Phishing Attack,” in D. Nicholson (ed.), Advances in Human Factors in Cyber Security: AHFE 2017 (pp. 146-157), New York: Springer. ISBN: 978-3-319-60585-2

Roberts, B., A. Rose, N. Heatwole, D. Wei, M. Avetisyan, F. Prager, C. Baschnagel, and I. Maya. 2017. “Economic Impacts of Changes in Wait Times at U.S. Ports of Entry,” in A. Abbas, M. Tambe and D. von Winterfeldt (eds.), Improving Homeland Security Decisions, New York: Cambridge University Press. doi:10.1017/9781316676714

Rose, A. 2017. “Benefit-Cost Analysis of Economic Resilience Actions,” in S. Cutter (ed.) Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Natural Hazard Science, New York: Oxford; reprinted in Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Natural Hazard Governance, New York: Oxford, forthcoming. doi: 10.1093/acrefore/9780199389407.013.69

Rose, A. 2017. “Construction of an Economic Resilience Index,” in D. Paton and D. Johnston (eds.) Disaster Resilience:  An Integrated Approach (2nd edition), Springfield, IL:  Charles C. Thomas Publishers. doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-50547-3

Rose, A. 2017. “Economic Consequence Analysis of Maritime Cyber Threats,” in F. Roberts et al. (eds.), Maritime Cyber Security, Washington, DC:  Westphalia Press. ISBN: 1633915557

Rose, A. 2017. “Economic Resilience to Terrorism and Natural Disasters,” in A. Abbas, M. Tambe and D. von Winterfeldt (eds.), Improving Homeland Security Decisions, New York: Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 1107161886 

Rose, A. 2017. “Resilience: State-of-the-Art and a Future Research Agenda,” in R. Jackson and P. Schaeffer (eds.), Regional Research Frontiers, Heidelberg: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-50547-3

Rosoff, H. and R. S. John. 2017. “Decision Analysis by Proxy for the Adaptive Adversary,” in A. Abbas, M. Tambe, and D. von Winterfeldt (eds.), Improving Homeland Security Decisions (pp. 709-729), New York: Cambridge University Press. doi:10.1017/9781316676714

Abbas, A., M. Tambe, and D. von Winterfeldt. 2016. “Introduction to Improving Homeland Security Decisions,” in A. Abbas, M. Tambe, and D. von Winterfeldt (eds.), Improving Homeland Security Decisions, New York:Cambridge University Press. doi:10.1017/9781316676714

An, B., A. Sinha, and M. Tambe. 2016. “Stackelberg Security Games (SSG) Basics and Application Overview,” in A. Abbas, M. Tambe, and D. von Winterfeldt (eds.), Improving Homeland Security Decisions, Cambridge University Press. doi:10.1017/9781316676714

Nguyen, T., D. Kar, M. Brown, A. Sinha, M. Tambe, and A.X. Jiang. 2016. “Towards a Science of Security Games,” in B. Toni (ed.), Interdisciplinary Mathematical Research and Applications, Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-31323-8

Rose, A. 2016. “Measuring Economic Resilience to Disasters: An Overview,” in M. Florin and I. Linkov (eds.), IRGC Resource Guide on Resilience Risk Governance, Lausanne: International Risk Governance Center. doi:10.5075/epfl-irgc-228206

Rose, A. 2016. “Private Sector Co-Benefits of Disaster Risk Management,” in E. Surminski and T. Tanner (eds.), Realising the Triple Resilience Dividend:  A New Business Case for Disaster Risk Management, Heidelberg: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-40694-7

Taylor, M., C. Kiekintveld, E. Shieh, F.M. DelleFave, and M. Tambe. 2016. “Evaluating Deployed Decision Support Systems for Security: Challenges, Analysis, and Approaches,” in A. Abbas, M. Tambe, and D. von Winterfeldt (eds.), Improving Homeland Security Decisions, New York: Cambridge University Press. doi:10.1017/9781316676714

Giesecke, J., W. Burns, A. Rose, T. Barrett, and M. Griffith. 2015. “Regional Dynamics under Adverse Physical and Behavioral Shocks:  The Economic Consequences of a Chlorine Terrorist Attack in the Los Angeles Finance District,” in P. Nijkamp, A. Rose A, K. Kourtit (eds.), Regional Science Matters, Heidelberg: Springer. doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-07305-7

Rose, A. 2015. “Economic Resilience to Disasters,” in B. Ayyub (ed.), Economics of Community Disaster Resilience, Gaithersburg, MD: National Institute of Standards and Technology. dx.doi.org/10.6028/NIST.SP.1600

Rose, A. 2015. “Macroeconomic Consequences of Terrorist Attacks:  Estimation for the Analysis of Policies and Rules," in C. Mansfield and V.K. Smith (eds.), Benefit Transfer for the Analysis of DHS Policies and Rules, Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar. dx.doi.org/10.4337/9781784711085.00016

Ryutov, T., M. Orosz, J. Blythe, and D. von Winterfeldt. 2015. “A Game Theoretic Framework for Modeling Adversarial Cyber Security Game Among Attackers, Defenders, and Users,” Security and Trust Management, London: Springer International, pp. 274-282.

Peer-Reviewed Proceedings Papers

Baucum, M. and R. S. John. 2019. “Gradients of Fear and Anger in Social Media Response to Soft-Target Terror Attacks,” in Proceedings of the 52nd Annual Hawaiian International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS-2019), Maui, HI, Jan. 8-11. doi:10.24251/HICSS.2019.276

Baucum, M., R. S. John, M. Mayorga, P. Slovic, W. Burns, K. Portney, and J. Mumpower. 2018. “The Dynamics of Risk Perception for Soft Target Terrorism,” in Proceedings of the Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM-14) Bi-Annual Conference. Los Angeles, CA, Sept. 16-21. http://psam14.org/proceedings/paper/paper_63_1.pdf

Nguyen, K., H. Rosoff, and R. S. John. 2017. “Assessing U.S. Travelers’ Trade-Offs for Aviation Safety Objectives: A Natural Experiment,” in Proceedings of the 50th Annual Hawaiian International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS-2017), Kona, HI, Jan. 4-7. doi:10.24251/HICSS.2017.181

Pynadath, D., H. Rosoff, and R. S. John. 2016. “Semi-Automated Construction of Decision-Theoretic Models of Human Behavior,” in Proceedings of the 15th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS-2016), Singapore, May 9-13. doi:10.5555/2936924.2937055

Ferretti, V., S. Guney, G. Montibeller, and D. von Winterfeldt. 2015. “Testing Best Practices to Reduce the Overconfidence Bias in Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis,” accepted for presentation at the 49th Hawaiian International Conference on Systems Science, Kauai, HI. doi.:10.1109/HICSS.2016.195