Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Threats and Emergencies

Reducing Threats, Mitigating Emergencies, Building Resilience

As the Department of Homeland Security’s first University Center of Excellence, CREATE serves our nation through creation of advanced models and tools for the evaluation of the risks, costs and consequences of threats to human livelihood and through assessment of strategies to mitigate risks and respond to emergencies. CREATE’s approach is integrated, holistic and impartial, providing independent assessment of hazards, both malevolent and unintentional, including terrorism, accidents, and naturally occurring events.

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CREATE Publications

CREATE’s faculty are leaders in decision analysis, risk assessment, economic consequence analysis, benefit-cost analysis, resilience, game theory, operations research, and risk management. CREATE has fostered collaboration from a diverse array of disciplines to tackle some of the most vexing and challenging problems of the 21st Century.

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Partitioning the Expected Value of Countermeasures and an Application to Terrorism

Richard S. John, Robin L. Dillon , William J. Burns, Nicholas Scurich

Optimizing the Selection of Mass Vaccination Sites: Access and Equity Consideration

Basim Aljohani, Randolph Hall

Improving figures for climate change communications: Insights from interviews with international policymakers and practitioners

Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Lila Rabinovich, Kate Weber. et al.


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Randolph Hall 

Director &
Senior Research Fellow

Detlof von Winterfeldt

Director Emeritus &
Senior Research Fellow

Adam Rose

Director Emeritus &
Senior Research Fellow

Isaac Maya

Associate Director for Transition

Richard John

Senior Research Fellow

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