Reducing Threats, Mitigating Emergencies, Building Resilience

As the Department of Homeland Security’s first University Center of Excellence, CREATE serves our nation through creation of advanced models and tools for the evaluation of the risks, costs and consequences of threats to human livelihood and through assessment of strategies to mitigate risks and respond to emergencies.  CREATE's approach is integrated, holistic and impartial, providing independent assessment of hazards, both malevolent and unintentional, including terrorism, accidents, and naturally occurring events.

Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Threats and Emergencies

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CREATE’s faculty are leaders in decision analysis, risk assessment, economic consequence analysis, benefit-cost analysis, resilience, game theory, operations research, and risk management. CREATE has fostered collaboration from a diverse array of disciplines to tackle some of the most vexing and challenging problems of the 21st Century.

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Tracking COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States: Metrics of Pandemic Progression Derived from a Queueing Framework

Randolph Hall, Andrew Moore, Mingdong Lyu

Testing the Effectiveness of Debiasing Techniques to Reduce Overprecision in the Elicitation of Subjective Continuous Probability Distinctions

Valentina Ferretti, Gilberto Montibeller, Detlof von Winterfeldt

Socioeconomic Impacts of Resilience to Seaport and Highway Transportation Network Disruption

Dan Wei, Adam Rose, Eyuphan Koc, Zhenhua Chen, Lucio Soibelman

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Randolph Hall

Director & Senior Research Fellow

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Richard John

Associate Director &
Senior Research Fellow

Adam Rose

Director Emeritus &
Senior Research Fellow

Erroll Southers

Associate Director of International Programs

Detlof von Winterfeldt

Director Emeritus &
Senior Research Fellow

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