Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Threats and Emergencies

Reducing Threats, Mitigating Emergencies, Building Resilience

As the Department of Homeland Security’s first University Center of Excellence, CREATE serves our nation through creation of advanced models and tools for the evaluation of the risks, costs and consequences of threats to human livelihood and through assessment of strategies to mitigate risks and respond to emergencies. CREATE’s approach is integrated, holistic and impartial, providing independent assessment of hazards, both malevolent and unintentional, including terrorism, accidents, and naturally occurring events.

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CREATE Publications

CREATE’s faculty are leaders in decision analysis, risk assessment, economic consequence analysis, benefit-cost analysis, resilience, game theory, operations research, and risk management. CREATE has fostered collaboration from a diverse array of disciplines to tackle some of the most vexing and challenging problems of the 21st Century.

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Disaster Risk and Artificial Intelligence: A Framework to Characterize Conceptual Synergies and Future Opportunities

Samrat Chatterjee

Closing the Gap Between Decision Analysis and Policy Analysts Before the Next Pandemic

Robin Dillon, Vicki Bier, Richard John

Economic Impacts of Russia-Ukraine War Export Disruptions of Grain Commodities

Zhenhua Chen, Adam Rose, Dan Wei


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Randolph Hall

Director & Senior Research Fellow

Detlof von Winterfeldt

Director Emeritus &
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Adam Rose

Director Emeritus &
Senior Research Fellow

Isaac Maya

Associate Director for Transition

Richard John

Senior Research Fellow

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